The Future Isn’t What You Think

I am sure you remember Michael Wesch’s brilliant The Web is Us/ing Us — I talked about one of the variants here. Well, he is back and bringing his digital ethnography skills to bear on the subject of the Information R/evolution. As Jon Burg points out, Michael Wesch raises some great points — in fact, the points that are raised in this four minute video could supply me with blogging topics for the next couple of weeks.

But one of the things that resonated with me was that "the future isn’t what you think". As the video shows, some years ago we were all fascinated by hierarchies of knowledge and categorisation. We were building taxonomies and information structures and file servers and places to store documents. But then along came Google and changed the way we played. Remember, Google changed the way that we played FIRST, and the way we worked SECOND. So despite the huge investment that we all made (professionally or personally) in collecting and categorising our web bookmarks, our corporate documents and intranet links, the future turned out to be a very different place.

This is why we use the term "disruptive" technology for those innovations that change the status quo. It is also why it is essential for us, as marketers, to continue to investigate and play with the technologies that become available … because what is clear (to me at least) is that consumers are more rapidly adopting the game-changing technologies that will infect and drive tomorrow’s corporate innovation. So while consumers are unlikely to tell us HOW to change what we do … by watching, understanding and playing where they play, we will at least be aware of the trends and opportunities coming down the track.

Google Gets Some Air

Adobeairanalytics I guess this is where I get a little geeky … but I am very excited about this (via Techcrunch). No, it is not a great collaboration between tech giants Google and Adobe. It is a great example of Web 2.0 — building an API on Adobe’s new Air platform to make a web application like Google Analytics behave more like a desktop program.

So, if you are like me and love the idea of tracking your various websites … then this is a great application to have sitting on your desktop — just a click away. Enjoy!

Planning Success with Plan HQ


Plan HQ end of year bash
Originally uploaded by natfergster

It is great to see the folks from Decisive Flow getting some kudos for their Plan HQ business plan builder software. It just goes to show that a great, niche product, a solid business plan (surely they use their own tool) and a "no-brainer" pricing model ($9-$45 per month) can prove to be a recipe for success.

But, of course, there is more goodness from Nat and Tim — be sure to drop by their blog, Simple and Loveable — especially if you run a small business and want to understand how Web 2.0, social media or new technologies apply to your business. It’s gold.

Facebook and the Platform of Influence

I have been thinking over Microsoft’s interest in Facebook … and wondering what it is that is driving their strategic decision making. Sure there are strong customer acquisition drivers which become even more compelling when you consider this post by Charlene Li (explaining that this acquisition price is LIFELONG rather than transient — but how long is "lifelong" in a Web 2.0 world?).

But the more I think on this, the more it makes sense. You see, Microsoft are not really buying customers, they are buying a PLATFORM OF INFLUENCE. The Platform of Influence is a precondition for what Ross Dawson calls "attention profiling" (one of his six trends tranforming living online). Ross explains attention profiling in this way:

4. Attention profiling We are moving to a world of infinite content. The proliferation of blogs, online publications, podcasts, and videos means we are swamped with information. The first phase of the response has been user filtered content or collaborative filtering on sites such as Last.FM and scouta.com, giving us personalized recommendations. The next phase will be to develop detailed profiles of our interests and behaviors across different categories of content, so that we can access or be presented with content in a way that matches our available attention relative to the relevance and interest of the content. The two most promising initiatives in this space – Particls and illumio – have both been launched in the last couple of months. We can expect it to become a completely seamless process to find or be given what we want from an infinite landscape of content.

While I see the value in attention profiling, the very concept raises many questions. You will, no doubt, have others, but mine are:

  • Discovery — there are some things that I like about being pre-emptively supplied with information, services or even products based on my past usage and predictive usage patterns. However, this removes the enjoyment of discovery — something that is the reward for my curiosity. Is it possible that a by-product of this predictive sampling is the dampening of curiosity — or will this human trait simply find a new outlet?
  • Privacy — how many of us will be happy to sign-up for personal profiling? It sounds great in theory, but it presumes integrity and security on the part of the service provider.

I think this is where Facebook comes in and precisely where there is potential value for Microsoft. Not only does Facebook already perform low level personal filtering, it already enables some of the collaborative filtering that Ross discusses. For example, I am much more inclined to join a group, read a post or attend an event that is already on the list of my influencers. This means that the distinction between decision and action is compressed and accelerated — mostly thanks to the influencing power of my personal/professional network. Microsoft has wanted to bring its brand into our lives more seamlessly for years … and this may well prove to be its best opportunity yet.

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Facing Up To Microsoft


Sam Face
Originally uploaded by Sammylee1

A couple of weeks ago I tried to "friend" Bill Gates on Facebook. Unfortunately, thus far at least, he has not accepted … but what surprised me about the "Microsoft Network" on Facebook was not that Bill Gates was there (fake or otherwise), but the NUMBER of Microsoft folk who were participating. A quick troll through the list of members shows some fairly senior folks who, by all accounts, are actively using the Facebook tools and widgets.

So it comes as no surprise to learn that Microsoft is interested in taking a stake in the Web 2.0 darling. Techcrunch has some great comments and commentary about this … but there is one interesting comment that set off some light bulbs in my head. Startup News suggests:

The company is barely making any money …
For $500 million you can buy another social network and still have chage left to buy your own customers …

To me, this is EXACTLY the reason that Facebook is a compelling acquisition target. Microsoft clearly have the technical ability to build a Facebook competitor should they wish … it is not the technology that they are after. With 66 million registered users, Facebook is a bargain $7.50 per user, making it a very cheap way of acquiring customers. I am being a little simplistic here, of course, but the decision to purchase Microsoft products for work or home is completely different from the thought process undertaken to join a social network. Microsoft already have a hold over our computers and office applications … now they are making a play for our hearts — moving into the space where we play. Makes for interesting times!

Say Hello — Z-listing and My Heart Skips a Beat

Like many bloggers I have a healthy curiosity about how and where links come in to my site. But for me, the fascination is to do with the apparent randomness of events and connections — what prompts someone to link to my site, why do they choose that particular post … and for the readers — which links are popular and why. Then, of course, there is the strange world of Google search (I am sure that the person searching for “presentation” and “porn” is hugely disappointed to arrive here).
It was all this randomness that originally interested me in the Z-list. It single-handedly achieved its creator’s intention — to turn Technorati’s system of ranking authority “on its ear”. And, if you are one of the many hundreds who benefitted from the Z-list, then you will know that it has had a number of incarnations — including this effort that was compiled by Becky Carroll, Sharon Sarmiento and myself.
I have noticed over the past couple of weeks that there are a few new inbound links courtesy of a “new” Z-list. But then, today, while checking out one of the new additions I found that it was not just me noticing this. You see, many sites have installed the MyBlogLog widget that shows the photos of recent visitors. So here I was reading a recipe for Creme Caramel and there was a photo of David Armano. I was literally following in his hypertext footsteps. Another pattern in the chaos.
So it seems that, once again, the Z-list is starting to ramp-up — this time in the food and fashion category … and I have a feeling that if it takes off again, this category shift could generate even more links and traffic than all the previous efforts. But is this a good thing? Do we really want more links?

The challenge, of course, is to have already existing content on your site that is going to make new readers return (check out this recipe for Mint sauce). So, if you are new to THIS blog, here are some of my favourite posts (though not necessarily the most popular):

Oh, what made my heart skip a beat? Recognition. It’s not WHERE we go on the web that is most interesting … it is where we find our friends. The Internet is still a growing and changing landscape which can be fun to explore — but the more we seek, the more we also secretly desire connection. It is the reward for exploration and risk. And on the web, the symbolism of tools like Twitter and MyBlogLog are not to do with the inanities of everyday life — they are the visible traces that we leave in our wake (or as Katie would say, the digital footprints) and they provide another means to connect the ambient dots of our everyday intimacies — giving substance to our thought and communication patterns.

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Is Social Media in the Frame?


Air rifle target
Originally uploaded by guvava

There seems to be a rash of posts and articles today that draw a circle around some of the big social media questions.

Yesterday I was following a little of the Andrew Keen discussion at the Sydney Morning Herald website and today I find the full text of the Web 2.0 discussion between Keen and David Weinberger. Obviously, my view falls on the side of David Weinberger and on the side of optimism (though my reason are less to do with optimism and more to do with ability to achieve optimistic outcomes).

I particularly like the the gentle, but persistent way, that David Weinberger pushes the conversation from technology to people, from rhetoric to potential and from professionalism to amateurism … it is well worth a read.

On a similar path, there is also Dina Mehta’s excellent explanation of blogging and how the technologies or social media terminologies sometimes get in the way of positioning the strategic nature of what is ACTUALLY happening. I wish I had written this explanation:

I think there is a mismatch here in what your team understands about what blogging is – and what it actually is. Most non-bloggers seem to refer to blogging as merely writing a diary. But that’s not complete, nor does it do blogging any justice. Blogging is the act of publishing content online in a space that is yours …

Bruce Nussbaum and David Armano have been bouncing ideas around that go to the very heart of the value of social media within a brand, innovation and creative context. And while much of the discussion centres on the disconnect between agencies and their use/understanding of new media, this is not a conversation that can be had in isolation — media networks, newspapers, TV and radio are all partly contributing to innovation inertia.

What all of these articles do is place social media firmly in the frame. Is it relevant to your company, brand, media empire? Of course it is … it is where the influencers, innovators and aggregators of consumer behaviour now play. It’s not about the technology … as usual, it is about the people. Who do you think it is firing the bullets?

Music to Blog By

free music

Researcher extraordinaire, Sharon Sarmiento, has unearthed this neat online music system. You can simply and easily create playlists and embed them on your blog. Now you can listen and write at the same time to your own or to others playlists.

Thought it would make a nice addition to my new music blog.

Oh, and did I mention that Blogmusik is free? What are you waiting for? Go on, share your music taste with the rest of us … don’t you know it tells us more about your personality?

Web Day at MarketingProfs

It looks like it is web day over at MarketingProfs!

Gerry McGovern has a great post reminding us of the importance of designing websites that can be easily managed and updated. His post, Web Sites: Designed by Dogs, Managed by Cats, describes the enthusiasm of web designers and also the need to balance this with the "cool" of cats — to sit back and plan for action.

This is something I also touch on in my new post — The Importance of a "Web Strategy" — not the cat/dog thing, but the need for a plan — and a smart plan at that. Check it out.

How Famous Are You

Oh you know I love a good gadget … so I couldn’t go past this one. It is from MyHeritage and it scans your face from a photograph and then matches you up to celebrities on its database. I must admit I like the idea of looking like William Shatner … or perhaps it is all that form-hugging Star Trek gear. Who do you look like? Go on … you know you love a bit of Web 2.0 fun.